S.Africa's rand, bonds edge up ahead of data

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - South Africa's rand firmed marginally on Tuesday ahead of a slew of domestic economic data but stayed within its recent trading range, awaiting further direction from global markets.

The rand was trading at 8.6700 against the dollar at 0640 GMT from Tuesday's close of 8.6725.

"The data today will not have much impact on the rand. We will continue to look at international factors," said Ion de Vleeschauwer, Bidvest Bank's chief dealer.

"We're really stuck in the ranges between 8.60-70 and that will probably continue for the rest of the week."

The rand was supported by a stabilising euro as nerves calmed over Italy's latest political turmoil and prospects of more stimulus from the Federal Reserve pinned down the dollar, although weaker-than-expected data could put it under pressure.

Retail sales figures are due at 0700 GMT, with economists expecting year-on-year spending growth on the high street to have slowed to 4.0 percent in October.

At 1100 GMT, economists expect manufacturing output to have fallen 1.2 percent, hit by labour unrest in the mines.

The rand has lost more than 7 percent since the start of the year and came under pressure intense pressure from August because of wildcat strikes in the mining sector and a yawning current account deficit.

Government bonds rose, pushing yields down 2 basis points to 7.335 on the benchmark 2026 issue and 1 basis point to 5.46 percent for the shorter-dated 2015 note.

The Treasury will auction 2.1 billion rand of debt spread over the 2031 and 2048 government bonds at 0900 GMT.

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Mexican president confident of key reforms in 2013

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto said on Monday he is confident that reforms to shake up state oil giant Pemex and the country's tax regime, key planks of his drive to accelerate economic growth, will be approved in 2013.

The youthful Pena Nieto took office on December 1 pledging to fire up the economy after years of underperformance, during which it fell behind its big Latin American peer Brazil.

In his election campaign he identified energy and tax reforms as central to raising growth to rates of around six percent per year, or about three times the average rate of the past decade.

Though his Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) fell short of a congressional majority in regaining the presidency after 12 years on the sidelines, Pena Nieto is adamant he can pass energy and tax reforms that have foundered in the past.

"I would give a horizon of one year for these reforms," the 46-year-old told Reuters in an interview in Mexico City.

"Next year will be the time for all of it to happen from scratch: presenting the initiative, the necessary consensus to back it up and make them happen, and get the required approval."

He did not provide details on what shape the reforms would take beyond saying that he looked forward to Mexico forging "strategic" tie-ups with the private sector in the oil industry.

Asked whether he could secure the support in Congress to approve his plans, Pena Nieto said he was "very upbeat," noting that he has already signed a pact with the leading political parties to work together on reforms.

He said he was also confident of reaching consensus next year on his aim to provide universal social security coverage in Mexico, and that he would press for constitutional change to spur more competition in the telecommunications sector.

He did not provide more details. Mexican television is dominated by broadcasters Televisa and TV Azteca while the world's richest man, Carlos Slim, has a tight grip on the fixed-line and mobile phone markets.

Pena Nieto's predecessor as president, Felipe Calderon of the conservative National Action Party, or PAN, failed to win Congress' support for a major reform of Pemex.

But Calderon took the first steps towards opening it up to outside investment, putting out incentive-based contracts to private firms to improve the efficiency of the oil industry.

Pemex has struggled to make the most of Mexico's crude oil reserves, and Pena Nieto has pledged to open up the company to more private investment. To make it worthwhile for investors, Pena Nieto believes a constitutional change is needed.

STRATEGIC ASSOCIATION

Mexico relies on oil revenues to fund nearly a third of the federal budget, which has not only concentrated much power in Pemex but also left it open to over-exploitation by the state.

The dependence on oil revenues is regularly cited as an obstacle to Mexico's efforts to improve its credit rating. The fact that no party has had a majority in Congress for 15 years has stood in the way of a far-reaching tax reform.

Pena Nieto's planned tax reform is tricky because it could involve applying value-added tax (VAT) to food and medicine for the first time. That could risk opposition inside the PRI since it would hit the poor, who make up roughly half of Mexico's population.

The president declined to say how his government would approach the subject of changes to VAT, though many experts see few ways of quickly raising more revenues without it.

Mexico has one of the smallest tax takes in Latin America, collecting revenues worth only about 11 percent of gross domestic product, excluding oil income.

Mexico's constitution stipulates that the right to exploit crude oil belongs to the state, and the new government must find a way of allowing private investors to help find the crude without surrendering control of its natural resources.

"I believe constitutional reform is what enables us to generate the legal certainty for the opportunities of getting Mexico more private investment to develop its energy infrastructure," Pena Nieto said.

Created when the PRI nationalized the oil industry in 1938, Pemex became a symbol of Mexican self-sufficiency, and many attempts to reform the lumbering monopoly have foundered.

Output at Mexico's largest oil fields fell sharply between 2004 and 2009, although it has since stabilized. However, the government has said output will stagnate without significant new investment, and the world's no. 7 oil producer risks becoming a net oil importer if it fails to improve production trends.

Pena Nieto has held up Brazil's state-owned oil firm Petrobras as a model for Mexico to follow. Petrobras trades shares on the stock exchange and Pena Nieto has said a partial listing of Pemex could be a possibility in the future.

For now, Mexico needed to create alliances with private capital to get the best out of Pemex, he said.

"Brazil has a legal framework which allowed it to create strategic associations, which is what I'm proposing, a strategic association with the private sector," he added.

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Italy's Berlusconi attacks "Germano-centric" Monti

ROME (Reuters) - Former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi accused the technocrat government of Mario Monti on Tuesday of pursuing economic policies dictated by Germany that had dragged Italy into recession.

In remarks that point to a bitter election campaign fought over European issues, Berlusconi said Germany had taken advantage of the financial crisis to lower its own borrowing costs at the expense of other states.

He said Monti's government had been compliant in following a harmful austerity policies set by other European countries.

"The Monti government has followed the Germano-centric policies which Europe has tried to impose on other states and it has created a crisis situation which is much worse than where we were when we were in government," he told his own Canale 5 television.

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Wal-Mart under fire in India, government signals probe

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India's government said on Tuesday it was prepared to launch an inquiry into lobbying by Wal-Mart Stores Inc. , buckling under an opposition campaign to discredit a flagship economic policy that allows foreign supermarkets to trade in Asia's third largest economy.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has pressed ahead with the policy despite fierce political opposition, arguing that foreign capital and expertise is needed to revive the flagging economy and modernize India's food supply chain.

Opposition uproar over the issue has repeatedly caused parliament to be adjourned in recent weeks and derailed efforts to pass more reforms to bring investment to the banking, pensions and insurance industries.

In a recent disclosure filing, Wal-Mart told U.S. authorities it had spent $25 million on lobbying activities in the United States over the past four years to help win market access to markets including India - considered one of the last major frontiers for global retailers.

India's opposition parties, led by the right-wing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), have seized on media coverage of the filing as evidence the company had engaged in lobbying in India, even though the filing referred only to lobbying activities in the United States.

"The government views this with as much concern as all sections of the house and has no hesitation in having an inquiry ... to get to the facts of the matter," Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kamal Nath told parliament.

He said he would announce steps towards an inquiry in parliament later on Tuesday. But later his office strongly denied he had given a date for any action, raising questions about whether the government would indeed launch an investigation.

Wal-Mart, which discloses issues and expenditures associated with lobbying in various markets on a quarterly basis in the United States, said the allegations it had lobbied in India were "entirely false".

"The expenditures are a compilation of expenses associated with staff, association dues, consultants, and contributions spent in the United States," a spokesman for the company's local tie-up Bharti Walmart said.

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World stocks wane as US budget talks drag on

BANGKOK (AP) — World stock markets lost some steam Tuesday as efforts by U.S. leaders to reach a budget deal before the year's end appeared deadlocked and fears lingered that a leadership change in Italy could derail Europe's efforts to tackle its financial crisis.

Markets in Asia appeared to take in stride news that HSBC, the British banking giant, will pay $1.9 billion to settle a money-laundering probe by federal and state authorities in the United States. HSBC shares rose 0.3 percent in Hong Kong and fell 0.3 percent in London.

Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.2 percent to 5,910.52. Germany's DAX rose 0.2 percent to 7,542.72. The CAC-40 in Paris rose 0.1 percent to 3,616.35.

Wall Street futures were sluggish ahead of the opening bell in New York. Dow Jones industrial futures fell marginally to 13,181 and S&P 500 futures shed 0.1 percent to 1,418.80.

Jackson Wong, vice president at Tanrich Securities in Hong Kong, said investors were prepared for the bad news on HSBC after rumors of a settlement leaked out Friday. Helping to calm nerves was HSBC's sale last Wednesday of its 15.6 percent stake in China's Ping An Insurance to a Thai conglomerate for about $9.4 billion.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell 0.1 percent to 9,525.32, with Japanese utilities coming under pressure a day after a team of geologists said that a nuclear power plant in western Japan is likely located on an active fault. Japanese guidelines prohibit nuclear facilities above active faults.

Tokyo Electric Power Co. fell 1.4 percent and Kansai Electric Power Co. tumbled 4.4 percent.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.2 percent to 22,323.94 and South Korea's Kospi added 0.4 percent to 1,964.62. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.4 percent to 4,576. Benchmarks in Singapore and Indonesia also rose while New Zealand, India and mainland China fell.

Investors got a slight jolt after Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti, who has been credited with restoring confidence in Italy's economy, announced he will resign by year's end. Monti said over the weekend that he found it impossible to lead after former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's party, Parliament's largest, dropped its support for the government.

Analysts fear Monti's unexpected resignation could spark a new round of Italian political turmoil and slow efforts to get one of Europe's largest economies back in shape.

Anxiety was also growing as talks drag on between President Barack Obama and Republican lawmakers over a way to avoid the "fiscal cliff," a series of tax hikes and spending cuts that will come into effect Jan. 1 if no agreement is in place to cut the budget deficit.

Benchmark oil for January delivery was up 11 cents to $85.66 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 37 cents to finish at $85.56 per barrel on the Nymex on Friday.

In currencies, the euro rose to $1.2947 from $1.2938 in New York on Monday. The dollar rose slightly to 82.35 yen from 82.33 yen.

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